• Menu
  • About
  • REVIEWS

KAYE SWAINKAYE SWAIN

Kaye Swain Roseville REALTOR - Specializing in Over 55 Communities in Roseville CA Area

9167680127
KayeSwainRE@gmail.com
  • Menu
  • HOME
  • Blog
  • Roseville CA
  • Retirement
  • real estate update
  • Brand New Homes
  • Homes For Sale
  • Home Value
  • Sell home
  • virtual home tour
  • Homes sold

Real Estate: It’s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand

Thank you for sharing....

Real Estate: It’s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand | Simplifying The Market

One of the major questions real estate experts are asking today is whether prospective homebuyers still believe purchasing a home makes sense. Some claim rapidly rising home prices are impacting demand and, by extension, leading to the recent slowdown in sales activity.

However, demand isn’t the real issue. Instead, it’s the lack of supply (homes available for sale). An article from the Wall Street Journal shows this is true for new home construction:

“Home builders have sold more homes than they can build. Now they are limiting their sales in an effort to catch up.”

The article quotes David Auld, CEO of D.R. Horton Inc. (the largest homebuilder by volume in the United States since 2002), explaining how they don’t have enough homes for the number of buyers coming into their models:

“Through our history, to have somebody walk into our models and to tell them, ‘We don’t have a house for you to buy today’, is something that is foreign to us.”

Danielle Hale, Chief Economist for realtor.com, also explains that, in the existing home sale market, the slowdown in sales was a supply challenge, not a lack of demand. Responding to a recent uptick in listings coming to market, she notes:

“. . . if these changing inventory dynamics continue, we could see a wave of real estate activity heading into the latter part of the year.”

Again, the buyers are there. We just need houses to sell to them.

If the slowdown in sales was the result of demand waning, we would start to see home prices beginning to moderate – but this isn’t the case. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist for First American, explains:

“There’s a lot of conversation around rising prices and falling quantity in the housing market, and there’s this concept, or this idea, that it’s a demand-side problem . . . . But, if demand were falling dramatically, we would actually see less price pressure, less home price growth.”

Instead, we’re seeing price appreciation accelerate throughout this year, as evidenced by the year-over-year percentage increases reported by CoreLogic:

  • January: 10%
  • February: 10.4%
  • March: 11.3%
  • April: 13%
  • May: 15.4%
  • June: 17.2%

(July numbers are not yet available)

There’s a shortage of listings, not buyers, and there are three very good reasons for purchasers to still be interested in buying a home this year.

1. Affordability isn’t the challenge some are claiming it to be.

Though home prices have risen dramatically over the last 18 months, mortgage rates remain near historic lows. Because of these near-record rates, monthly mortgage payments are affordable for most buyers.

While homes are less affordable than they were last year, when we adjust for inflation, we can see they’re also more affordable than they were in the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, and much of the 2000s.

2. Owning is a better long-term decision than renting.

A recent study shows renting a home takes up a higher percentage of a household’s income than owning one. According to the analysis, here’s the percentage of income homebuyers and renters should expect to pay now versus at the end of the year.Real Estate: It’s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand | Simplifying The MarketWhile the principal and interest of a monthly mortgage payment remain the same over the lifetime of the loan, rents increase almost every year.

3. Owners build their wealth. Renters build their landlord’s wealth.

Whether you’re a homeowner or an investor, real estate builds wealth through growing equity year-over-year. If you own, your household is gaining the benefit of that wealth accumulation. Fleming says:

“The major financial advantage of homeownership is the accumulation of equity in the form of house price appreciation . . . . We have to take into account the fact that the shelter that you’re owning is an equity-generating or wealth-generating asset.”

Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, elaborates in a recent article:

“. . . once the home is purchased, appreciation helps build equity in the home, and becomes a benefit rather than a cost. When accounting for the appreciation benefit in our rent versus own analysis, it was cheaper to own in every one of the top 50 markets, including the two most expensive rental markets, San Francisco and San Jose, Calif.”

Today, that equity buildup is substantial. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports:

“The median sales price of single-family existing homes rose in 99% of measured metro areas in the second quarter of 2021 compared to one year ago, with double-digit price gains in 94% of markets.”

In 94% of markets, there was a greater than 10% increase in median price. That means if you bought a $400,000 home in one of those markets, your net worth increased by at least $40,000. If you rented, the landlord was the recipient of the wealth increase.

Bottom Line

For many reasons, housing demand is still extremely strong. What we need is more supply (house listings) to meet that demand.

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters

Contents of this article...

    • 1. Affordability isn’t the challenge some are claiming it to be.
    • 2. Owning is a better long-term decision than renting.
    • 3. Owners build their wealth. Renters build their landlord’s wealth.
  • Bottom Line

Posted in: Real Estate Info Tagged: real estate, Real Estate Market, real estate news

Post navigation

« What Does Being in a Sellers’ Market Mean?
More Young People Are Buying Homes »
Kaye Swain REALTOR in Roseville CA real estate news and services including aging in place-multigenerational boomers and seniors old and vintage houses and first time home buyers

Hi and Welcome to KayeSwain.com.

Are you looking for homes for sale in Roseville CA and the surrounding area? I appreciate your stopping by and invite you to check out the various options available - from blog posts to inform you about this lovely Greater Sacramento Valley Area, to home searches you can set up - such as homes for sale Roseville, Lincoln, Rocklin, Granite Bay, Citrus Heights, Carmichael, Fair Oaks, etc, to fun real estate eye candy and more. And yes! This is true for residential neighborhoods, condo communities, and all of our lovely 55+ active senior retirement communities. If you have any questions about buying OR selling your home in Roseville or the surrounding Sacramento area, do give me a buzz at 916-768-0127 or email us at KayeSwainRE@gmail.com We're here to help you and your family with your real estate needs.

Kaye Swain Sun City Roseville Real Estate Agent

Search for Homes for Sale

Search KayeSwain.com

Search for:

Click here and sign up to get my free weekly emails where I share Roseville and Sacramento area updates, fun events, holiday happenings, real estate market info, and more. KayeSwain.com/free-weekly-area-updates

Tags

55+ senior retirement homes 95747 aging-in-place aging in place for boomers and seniors aging in place options boomers and seniors Brand New Homes buy or sell a home Citrus Heights Corona Virus Del Webb The Club At Westpark golf course home sellers homes for sale homes for sale in Citrus Heights homes for sale in Lincoln homes for sale in Rocklin homes for sale Rocklin CA homes for sale Roseville CA Homes sold multigenerational open house Placer County real estate Real Estate Market Real Estate Market Update real estate news real estate update restaurants Retirement Rocklin Roseville Roseville CA Sacramento Sacramento County seasons Silverado Homes at Eskaton Village Sun City Lincoln Hills Sun City Roseville Sun City Roseville Homes for Sale virtual home tour weather weekly market stats West Roseville winter

Search KayeSwain.com

Search for:

CLICK HERE for free weekly emails where I share Roseville and Sacramento area updates, fun events, holiday happenings, real estate market info, and more. KayeSwain.com/free-weekly-area-updates

CLICK HERE to read our blog
CLICK HERE to read RosevilleCaliforniaJoys.com

Resources for Buyers

The Ultimate Home Buyer's Guide

Resources for Home Sellers

Click here for Kaye Swain’s ebook -> Your Home Sellers Guide 

 

 

Resources for Boomers and Seniors

  • Seniors First Resource Guide
  • John Palley,Attorney – Certified Specialist in Estate Planning, Trust and Probate Law – offers an excellent and free book you can download as a pdf – “How to Live & Die With California Probate.” (Scroll to the bottom of his page and click the photo of the book)

 

RSS Roseville California Joys Blog – Latest Posts

  • Great News and Interesting Events Roseville CA [February 6, 2023]
  • Roseville Area Utilities Assistance, Have Fun At Work Today, And More!

CONTACT US

9167680127
KayeSwainRE@gmail.com
Christian Kaye Swain real estate agent blogger in Sacramento Roseville CA first time home buyers boomers seniors 700 700 with kw logo
© 2023 · Equity Framework
Kaye Swain Roseville Real Estate Agent, 916-768-0127, KayeSwainRE@gmail.com, CalBRE#01966207, with Keller Williams Realty, 548 Gibson Drive, Suite 200, Roseville CA 95678, (Each office is independently owned and operated)

If you have a brokerage relationship with another agency, this is not intended as a solicitation. Equal Opportunity Housing Provider.

Use of this site means you agree to the Metrolist Terms of Use. The content relating to real estate for sale on this web site comes in part from the IDX program of the MetroList MLS Services. Listing content is copyright © 2017 MetroList MLS Services. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. The information provided is for consumers. personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties for purchasing. Please contact Kaye Swain Real Estate directly for additional information pertaining to the status and availability of properties displayed on this website.

We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.

*****************************************************************************

This blog may also contain other affiliate posts, ads, and links and we may receive compensation for posting those as well as for links that are clicked

Log in