• Menu
  • About
  • REVIEWS

KAYE SWAINKAYE SWAIN

Kaye Swain Roseville REALTOR - Specializing in Over 55 Communities in Roseville CA Area

9167680127
KayeSwainRE@gmail.com
  • Menu
  • HOME
  • Blog
  • Roseville CA
  • Retirement
  • real estate update
  • Brand New Homes
  • Homes For Sale
  • Home Value
  • Sell home
  • virtual home tour
  • Homes sold

Is the Economic Recovery Beating All Projections?

Thank you for sharing....

Is the Economic Recovery Beating All Projections? | Simplifying The Market

Earlier this year, many economists and market analysts were predicting an apocalyptic financial downturn that would potentially rattle the U.S. economy for years to come. They immediately started to compare it to the Great Depression of a century ago. Six months later, the economy is still trying to stabilize, but it is evident that the country will not face the total devastation projected by some. As we continue to battle the pandemic, forecasts are now being revised upward. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) just reported:

“The U.S. economy and labor market are recovering from the coronavirus-related downturn more quickly than previously expected, economists said in a monthly survey.

Business and academic economists polled by The Wall Street Journal expect gross domestic product to increase at an annualized rate of 23.9% in the third quarter. That is up sharply from an expectation of an 18.3% growth rate in the previous survey.”

What Shape Will the Recovery Take?

Economists have historically cast economic recoveries in the form of one of four letters – V, U, W, or L.

A V-shaped recovery is all about the speed of the recovery. This quick recovery is treated as the best-case scenario for any economy that enters a recession. NOTE: Economists are now also using a new term for this type of recovery called the “Nike Swoosh.” It is a form of the V-shape that may take several months to recover, thus resembling the Nike Swoosh logo.

A U-shaped recovery is when the economy experiences a sharp fall into a recession, like the V-shaped scenario. In this case, however, the economy remains depressed for a longer period of time, possibly several years, before growth starts to pick back up again.

A W-shaped recovery can look like an economy is undergoing a V-shaped recovery until it plunges into a second, often smaller, contraction before fully recovering to pre-recession levels.

An L-shaped recovery is seen as the worst-case scenario. Although the economy returns to growth, it is at a much lower base than pre-recession levels, which means it takes significantly longer to fully recover.

Many experts predicted that this would be a dreaded L-shaped recovery, like the 2008 recession that followed the housing market collapse. Fortunately, that does not seem to be the case.

The same WSJ survey mentioned above asked the economists which letter this recovery will most resemble. Here are the results:Is the Economic Recovery Beating All Projections? | Simplifying The Market

What About the Unemployment Numbers?

It’s difficult to speak positively about a jobs report that shows millions of Americans are still out of work. However, when we compare it to many forecasts from earlier this year, the numbers are much better than most experts expected. There was talk of numbers that would rival the Great Depression when the nation suffered through four consecutive years of unemployment over 20%.

The first report after the 2020 shutdown did show a 14.7% unemployment rate, but much to the surprise of many analysts, the rate has decreased each of the last three months and is now in the single digits (8.4%).

Economist Jason Furman, Professor at Harvard University‘s John F. Kennedy School of Government and the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers during the previous administration, recently put it into context:

“An unemployment rate of 8.4% is much lower than most anyone would have thought it a few months ago. It is still a bad recession but not a historically unprecedented event or one we need to go back to the Great Depression for comparison.”

The economists surveyed by the WSJ also forecasted unemployment rates going forward:

  • 2021: 6.3%
  • 2022: 5.2%
  • 2023: 4.9%

The following table shows how the current employment situation compares to other major disruptions in our economy:Is the Economic Recovery Beating All Projections? | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

The economic recovery still has a long way to go. So far, we are doing much better than most thought would be possible.

Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters

Contents of this article...

    • What Shape Will the Recovery Take?
    • What About the Unemployment Numbers?
  • Bottom Line

Posted in: Real Estate Info Tagged: real estate, Real Estate Market, real estate news

Post navigation

« Homes Across the Country Are Selling Fast [INFOGRAPHIC]
The Cost of a Home Is Far More Important than the Price »
Kaye Swain REALTOR in Roseville CA real estate news and services including aging in place-multigenerational boomers and seniors old and vintage houses and first time home buyers

Hi and Welcome to KayeSwain.com.

Are you looking for homes for sale in Roseville CA and the surrounding area? I appreciate your stopping by and invite you to check out the various options available - from blog posts to inform you about this lovely Greater Sacramento Valley Area, to home searches you can set up - such as homes for sale Roseville, Lincoln, Rocklin, Granite Bay, Citrus Heights, Carmichael, Fair Oaks, etc, to fun real estate eye candy and more. And yes! This is true for residential neighborhoods, condo communities, and all of our lovely 55+ active senior retirement communities. If you have any questions about buying OR selling your home in Roseville or the surrounding Sacramento area, do give me a buzz at 916-768-0127 or email us at KayeSwainRE@gmail.com We're here to help you and your family with your real estate needs.

Kaye Swain Sun City Roseville Real Estate Agent

Search for Homes for Sale

Search KayeSwain.com

Search for:

Click here and sign up to get my free weekly emails where I share Roseville and Sacramento area updates, fun events, holiday happenings, real estate market info, and more. KayeSwain.com/free-weekly-area-updates

Tags

55+ senior retirement homes 95747 aging-in-place aging in place for boomers and seniors aging in place options boomers and seniors Brand New Homes buy or sell a home Citrus Heights Corona Virus Del Webb The Club At Westpark golf course home sellers homes for sale homes for sale in Citrus Heights homes for sale in Lincoln homes for sale in Rocklin homes for sale Rocklin CA homes for sale Roseville CA Homes sold multigenerational open house Placer County real estate Real Estate Market Real Estate Market Update real estate news real estate update restaurants Retirement Rocklin Roseville Roseville CA Sacramento Sacramento County seasons Silverado Homes at Eskaton Village Sun City Lincoln Hills Sun City Roseville Sun City Roseville Homes for Sale virtual home tour weather weekly market stats West Roseville winter

Search KayeSwain.com

Search for:

CLICK HERE for free weekly emails where I share Roseville and Sacramento area updates, fun events, holiday happenings, real estate market info, and more. KayeSwain.com/free-weekly-area-updates

CLICK HERE to read our blog
CLICK HERE to read RosevilleCaliforniaJoys.com

Resources for Buyers

The Ultimate Home Buyer's Guide

Resources for Home Sellers

Click here for Kaye Swain’s ebook -> Your Home Sellers Guide 

 

 

Resources for Boomers and Seniors

  • Seniors First Resource Guide
  • John Palley,Attorney – Certified Specialist in Estate Planning, Trust and Probate Law – offers an excellent and free book you can download as a pdf – “How to Live & Die With California Probate.” (Scroll to the bottom of his page and click the photo of the book)

 

RSS Roseville California Joys Blog – Latest Posts

  • Great News and Interesting Events Roseville CA [February 6, 2023]
  • Roseville Area Utilities Assistance, Have Fun At Work Today, And More!

CONTACT US

9167680127
KayeSwainRE@gmail.com
Christian Kaye Swain real estate agent blogger in Sacramento Roseville CA first time home buyers boomers seniors 700 700 with kw logo
© 2023 · Equity Framework
Kaye Swain Roseville Real Estate Agent, 916-768-0127, KayeSwainRE@gmail.com, CalBRE#01966207, with Keller Williams Realty, 548 Gibson Drive, Suite 200, Roseville CA 95678, (Each office is independently owned and operated)

If you have a brokerage relationship with another agency, this is not intended as a solicitation. Equal Opportunity Housing Provider.

Use of this site means you agree to the Metrolist Terms of Use. The content relating to real estate for sale on this web site comes in part from the IDX program of the MetroList MLS Services. Listing content is copyright © 2017 MetroList MLS Services. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. The information provided is for consumers. personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties for purchasing. Please contact Kaye Swain Real Estate directly for additional information pertaining to the status and availability of properties displayed on this website.

We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.

*****************************************************************************

This blog may also contain other affiliate posts, ads, and links and we may receive compensation for posting those as well as for links that are clicked

Log in